关税威胁和风险厌恶情绪压低风险资产,美元走强
黄金 ▬ 持平
石油 ▼ 下跌
加密货币 ▼ 下跌
贸易紧张局势正在重塑市场动态,新政府发出了对主要贸易伙伴采取激进关税政策的信号。对中国追加关税的威胁引发了对风险偏好的广泛重新评估,股票和加密货币双双下跌,投资者寻求更安全的头寸。由此产生的避险潮推高了美元至近八周高位,对大宗商品相关货币和风险敏感资产造成压力。
随着关税新闻面情绪恶化,比特币已滑向94,000美元,尽管一些分析师对长期估值持乐观态度,但更广泛的股票市场面临逆风。围绕贸易政策的不确定性造就了观察人士所称的朦胧宏观经济前景,使投资者对投入新资本进行周期性押注持谨慎态度。能源市场也感受到压力,原油库存保持稳定,但汽油和馏分油库存继续下降趋势,表明需求担忧正在压过供应紧张。
与此同时,数字资产的监管环境仍处于变化之中,加密货币行业参与者对停滞的立法努力表示沮丧。尽管加拿大的代币化存款倡议和不断扩展的托管框架等基础设施发展取得进展,但该行业继续面临与更广泛风险厌恶情绪相呼应的政策不确定性。地缘政治贸易紧张局势和监管模糊性的结合可能会在短期内使风险资产的波动性保持在高位。
来源
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