规避风险情绪打压加密货币和能源板块 关税担忧笼罩市场
黄金 ▬ 持平
石油 ▼ 下跌
加密货币 ▼ 下跌
随着贸易紧张局势升级,投资者风险偏好恶化,加密货币市场出现回调。比特币在关于拟议关税的担忧中跌向94,000美元,地缘政治和政策不确定性加剧导致更广泛的市场情绪转冷。监管阻力也对该行业造成压力,当局继续审查加密货币框架,同时安全事件凸显了数字资产基础设施的运营风险。
沙特阿拉伯将原油出口从欧洲转向其他地区,油价随之下跌,尽管美国钻井活动强劲,布伦特原油仍跌破每桶105美元。供应流向亚洲和海湾地区的重新调整,加上大型能源公司的战略资产转移,对全球基准价格造成下行压力。虽然国内钻探因价格水平较高而获得支撑,但更广泛的趋势反映的是地缘政治贸易流向的转变,而非基本面供应约束。
股票市场面临贸易政策不确定性的阻力,亚洲指数大幅下跌,关税威胁波及投资者情绪。尽管德意志银行对美国股市年底前景看好,但近期宏观条件仍不明朗,导致长期前景与即期市场谨慎态度之间出现脱节。货币市场反映了规避风险的环境,避险动态影响着主要经济体的央行政策预期。
来源
- Deutsche Bank forecasts S&P 500 to hit 7000 by end of 2025
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