关税不确定性压低风险资产 油价因供应担忧而上涨
黄金 ▬ 持平
石油 ▲ 上涨
加密货币 ▼ 下跌
加密货币市场因地缘政治紧张局势和贸易政策不确定性而大幅回调,投资者对风险资产的兴趣减弱。比特币跌破95000美元,因对主要贸易伙伴可能征收关税的担忧而承压,抵消了此前企业采用公告带来的涨势。更广泛的数字资产市场面临监管挫折的压力,包括之前支持山寨币估值的立法努力失败。
石油市场走势相反,受供应端中断和替代能源新需求的提振。主要炼油地区的生产约束与战略性新储备投资推高了原油价格。同时,货币市场反映了围绕央行政策预期的转变,美元因加息概率上升而走强,这使以美元计价的大宗商品前景更加复杂。
股票和加密货币市场风险规避情绪与能源市场韧性之间的分化,凸显了货币政策预期、地缘政治风险和结构性供应动态之间的复杂相互作用。投资者正密切关注贸易政策公告及其对全球增长的潜在影响,这可能在未来几周重塑这些资产类别的相对吸引力。
来源
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