关税不确定性压低风险资产 能源板块获得支撑
黄金 ▬ 持平
石油 ▲ 上涨
加密货币 ▼ 下跌
随着贸易紧张局势升级,风险偏好急剧恶化,加密货币市场首当其冲遭受抛售。比特币因对主要贸易伙伴关税提议的担忧而从近期高位回落,反映出投资者对投机性资产的谨慎态度。尽管存在一些看好长期前景的分析,但更广泛的股市前景仍被政策不确定性所笼罩,分析人士将宏观环境描述为混沌不明。
能源市场正从多个结构性因素获得支撑。石油生产国正在积极寻求新的投资和生产机会,从北极项目到扭转之前对开采的限制。该行业的劳资纠纷和全球能源动态的转变增加了供应端的考量,而尽管替代能源技术的兴起,石油产品的需求仍然保持韧性。
这种分化反映了典型的风险规避环境,其中传统避险资产和大宗商品生产商受益,而投机性数字资产则陷入困境。货币市场也对这一变化的格局做出了反应,美元因经济数据而走强,而新兴市场货币则面临资本流动和政策担忧的压力。
来源
- Deutsche Bank forecasts S&P 500 to hit 7000 by end of 2025
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